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Stadium Background

Ferroviaria vs Confianca

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Maikon Aquino
45'
PK
45'
Renilson

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Ferroviaria and Confianca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ferroviaria
35%
Draws
13%
Confianca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviaria come out ahead of Confianca on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ferroviaria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 68%
Confianca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria Confianca
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.17 0.78
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Confianca
1:0
May 18, 2024 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Confianca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Vitor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Confianca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria 95 / 100
Confianca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria Confianca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviaria scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Confianca has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Ferroviaria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Confianca's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria VS Confianca
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria

(Home)
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
23 Aug
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
17 Aug
Ferroviaria
4 : 0
Paysandu PA
08 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 2
Ferroviaria
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
Page 1 of 6

Confianca

(Away)
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1
Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)