Sport Picks
Ferroviaria vs Paysandu PA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie C Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara 
Match Events
2'
2'
Vitor Barreto
10'
10'
Vitor Barreto
20'
20'
Thiago M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C game between Ferroviaria and Paysandu PA finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviaria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviaria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Paysandu PA come out ahead of Ferroviaria on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviaria taking it.
- Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 68%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviaria | Paysandu PA |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Ferroviaria
1:0
Sep 13, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Paysandu PA
1:0
Aug 17, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Paysandu PA
4:0
Oct 20, 2025 Serie B
Ferroviaria vs Paysandu PA
2:2
Jun 30, 2025 Serie B
Paysandu PA vs Ferroviaria
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferroviaria Compare
Top Goalscorer Vitor Barreto
2 Goals Assists Leader Juninho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Paysandu PA Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviaria 68 / 100
Paysandu PA 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviaria Paysandu PA
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paysandu PA let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.
Ferroviaria scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Ferroviaria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviaria VS Paysandu PA
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviaria
(Home) 03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1 Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2 Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3 Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2 Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Confianca
17 Aug
Ferroviaria
4 : 0 Paysandu PA
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0 Maranhao
Page 1 of 3
Paysandu PA
(Away) 03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Paysandu PA
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Paysandu PA
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1 Paysandu PA
17 Aug
Ferroviaria
4 : 0 Paysandu PA
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1 Paysandu PA
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringa FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Internacional de Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhao | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 14 | SER Caxias do Sul | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Confianca | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
