Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferroviaria vs Paysandu PA

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Gustavo Medina
14'
Marcinho
20' Event
Juninho

AI Match Summary

Ferroviaria in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ferroviaria
30%
Draws
23%
Paysandu PA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Paysandu PA have won more games recently than Ferroviaria.
  • Ferroviaria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 68%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria Paysandu PA
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 10 2
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Ferroviaria
1:0
Sep 13, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Paysandu PA
1:0
Aug 17, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Paysandu PA
4:0
Oct 20, 2025 Serie B
Ferroviaria vs Paysandu PA
2:2
Jun 30, 2025 Serie B
Paysandu PA vs Ferroviaria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Paysandu PA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria 95 / 100
Paysandu PA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria Paysandu PA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviaria found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Paysandu PA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Ferroviaria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria VS Paysandu PA
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria

(Home)
03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1
Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3
Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6

Paysandu PA

(Away)
03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0
Paysandu PA
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
2 Internacional de Limeira 5 1 4 0 11:9 7
3 Brusque 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
4 Paysandu PA 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 5 3 2 0 5:2 11
2 Maringa FC 5 2 2 1 4:2 8
3 Floresta EC 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
4 Botafogo PB 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)