Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferroviaria W vs Fluminense W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Sochor
46'
Sub
Vendito In: Thayslane
Out: Vendito
58'
Driely

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between Ferroviaria W and Fluminense W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ferroviaria W
30%
Draws
39%
Fluminense W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fluminense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ferroviaria W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 19%
Fluminense W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria W Fluminense W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.68 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.49 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Ferroviaria W vs Fluminense W
1:1
May 1, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Fluminense W vs Ferroviaria W
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Ferroviaria W vs Fluminense W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Micaelly
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.74

Fluminense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sochor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria W 32 / 100
Fluminense W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria W Fluminense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviaria W found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Fluminense W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Ferroviaria W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria W VS Fluminense W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.86
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.86
38% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria W

(Home)
05 Sept
Ferroviaria W
2 : 2
CR Flamengo W
29 Aug
CR Flamengo W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
26 Aug
Ferroviaria W
3 : 0
Sao Paulo W
22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1
Fluminense W
15 Aug
Internacional W
1 : 2
Ferroviaria W
Page 1 of 7

Fluminense W

(Away)
22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1
Fluminense W
15 Aug
Fluminense W
4 : 1
America Mineiro W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2
Fluminense W
01 Aug
Fluminense W
2 : 1
Bragantino W
24 Jul
Internacional W
1 : 0
Fluminense W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)