Sport Picks
Ferroviaria W vs Penarol W
South America
Copa Libertadores Women 2024 Estadio Dr. Adhemar de Barros, Sao Paulo 
Match Events
29'
29'
Darlene
Assist: Micaelly
43'
43'
Rosa W.
Assist: Guell C.
79'
79'
Silva Amador L.
Assist: Darlene
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ferroviaria W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Ferroviaria W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Ferroviaria W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Ferroviaria W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 20%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviaria W | Penarol W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 16 |
| Wins | 18 | 1 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2024 Copa Libertadores Women
Ferroviaria W vs Penarol W
2:2
Mar 9, 2021 Copa Libertadores Women
Ferroviaria W vs Penarol W
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferroviaria W Compare
Top Goalscorer Darlene
1 Goals Assists Leader Silva Amador L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Penarol W Compare
Top Goalscorer Rosa W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Larrea S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviaria W 85 / 100
Penarol W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviaria W Penarol W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ferroviaria W scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.
Penarol W has conceded goals in 81% of their last 16 outings.
Difficult form: Penarol W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviaria W VS Penarol W
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviaria W
(Home) 17 Jul
Corinthians W
1 : 0 Ferroviaria W
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0 UD Alagoana W
24 May
Atletico-MG W
2 : 3 Ferroviaria W
21 May
Ferroviaria W
2 : 1 Palmeiras W
18 May
Ferroviaria W
2 : 0 Vitoria W
Page 1 of 7
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0 UD Alagoana W
21 May
Ferroviaria W
2 : 1 Palmeiras W
18 May
Ferroviaria W
2 : 0 Vitoria W
06 May
Ferroviaria W
2 : 1 Santos W
01 May
Ferroviaria W
3 : 0 Mixto W
Page 1 of 4
Penarol W
(Away) 12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2 Paraguay W
09 Jul
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1 Penarol W
19 Oct
Penarol W
1 : 2 Gimnasia L.P. W
16 Oct
Gremio W
2 : 0 Penarol W
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
2 : 0 Penarol W
Page 1 of 4
09 Jul
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1 Penarol W
16 Oct
Gremio W
2 : 0 Penarol W
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
2 : 0 Penarol W
07 Oct
Ferroviaria W
2 : 2 Penarol W
12 Mar
Libertad Limpeno W
0 : 0 Penarol W
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corinthians W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Libertad Limpeno W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 4 | ADIFFEM W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santos W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Olimpia Asuncion W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Colo Colo W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Always Ready W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 2 | Independiente del Valle W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria W | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Penarol W | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Cali W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | A. Lima W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 3 | S. Morning W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Guarani W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2024 (Play Offs)