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Ferroviario do Cabo vs Vera Cruz

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Pernambucano 2 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2016 game between Ferroviario do Cabo and Vera Cruz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vera Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ferroviario do Cabo
30%
Draws
23%
Vera Cruz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario do Cabo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Vera Cruz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vera Cruz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vera Cruz have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ferroviario do Cabo Clean Sheet 10%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario do Cabo Vera Cruz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Ferroviario do Cabo vs Vera Cruz
2:4
Nov 7, 2020 Pernambucano 2
Ferroviario do Cabo vs Vera Cruz
0:3
Oct 29, 2020 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Ferroviario do Cabo
1:0
Oct 15, 2017 Pernambucano 2
Ferroviario do Cabo vs Vera Cruz
1:7
Sep 20, 2017 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Ferroviario do Cabo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario do Cabo 10 / 100
Vera Cruz 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario do Cabo Vera Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vera Cruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vera Cruz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ferroviario do Cabo scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Vera Cruz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario do Cabo VS Vera Cruz
1 Goals Scored 0.88
7 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario do Cabo

(Home)
11 Nov
Flamengo Arcoverde
7 : 1
Ferroviario do Cabo
05 Nov
Ferroviario do Cabo
2 : 2
1º de Maio
01 Nov
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 3
Decisao
28 Oct
Ibis Sport Club
5 : 1
Ferroviario do Cabo
25 Oct
Atletico PE
2 : 2
Ferroviario do Cabo
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Vera Cruz

(Away)
17 Oct
Vera Cruz
2 : 2
Ipojuca
11 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
1 : 0
Vera Cruz
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
28 Sept
America PE
2 : 0
Vera Cruz
21 Sept
Ipojuca
3 : 1
Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afogados da Ingazeira 8 6 1 1 18:5 19
2 Flamengo Arcoverde 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
3 Vera Cruz 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
4 Barreiros FC 8 4 3 1 11:7 15
5 Timbauba FC 8 4 2 2 15:10 14
6 Centro Limoeirense 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
7 Cabense 8 1 2 5 8:21 5
8 Ferroviario do Cabo 8 1 1 6 5:17 4
9 Ibis Sport Club 8 0 2 6 5:15 2
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2016 (Play Offs)