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Ferroviario do Cabo vs Vera Cruz

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Pernambucano 2 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2016 game between Ferroviario do Cabo and Vera Cruz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vera Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ferroviario do Cabo
6%
Draws
90%
Vera Cruz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vera Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vera Cruz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vera Cruz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vera Cruz have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ferroviario do Cabo Clean Sheet 10%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario do Cabo Vera Cruz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 7 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 7.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Ferroviario do Cabo vs Vera Cruz
2:4
Nov 7, 2020 Pernambucano 2
Ferroviario do Cabo vs Vera Cruz
0:3
Oct 29, 2020 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Ferroviario do Cabo
1:0
Oct 15, 2017 Pernambucano 2
Ferroviario do Cabo vs Vera Cruz
1:7
Sep 20, 2017 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Ferroviario do Cabo
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario do Cabo 10 / 100
Vera Cruz 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario do Cabo Vera Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vera Cruz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ferroviario do Cabo scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Vera Cruz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario do Cabo VS Vera Cruz
1 Goals Scored 0.88
7 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira861118:519
2Flamengo Arcoverde852114:617
3Vera Cruz851217:816
4Barreiros FC843111:715
5Timbauba FC842215:1014
6Centro Limoeirense81436:107
7Cabense81258:215
8Ferroviario do Cabo81165:174
9Ibis Sport Club80265:152