Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferroviario Lichinga vs Baia de Pemba

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario Lichinga in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Lichinga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ferroviario Lichinga
33%
Draws
27%
Baia de Pemba
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ferroviario Lichinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviario Lichinga have won more games recently than Baia de Pemba.
  • Model gives Ferroviario Lichinga a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Ferroviario Lichinga Clean Sheet 20%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Lichinga Baia de Pemba
Matches Played 24 24
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Baia de Pemba
1:0
Nov 19, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Baia de Pemba
3:0
Aug 10, 2025 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Ferroviario Lichinga
2:2
Sep 29, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Baia de Pemba
1:1
Jun 1, 2024 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Ferroviario Lichinga
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Lichinga 40 / 100
Baia de Pemba 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Lichinga Baia de Pemba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LCH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Lichinga's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Ferroviario Lichinga went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Baia de Pemba let in goals in 58% of their last 24 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Lichinga VS Baia de Pemba
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviario Beira954011:319
2UD Songo944112:816
3Associacao Black Bulls835010:314
4Ferroviario Lichinga74218:414
5Ferroviario Nampula741211:1113
6Costa do Sol833210:712
7Ferroviario Nacala73316:412
8Sofala92435:1010
9ENH Vilankulo71518:68
10Ferroviario Maputo82243:58
11AD Pemba72144:97
12Chingale de Tete90451:84
13Baia de Pemba70343:73
14Maxaquene80353:103