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Ferroviario Lichinga vs UD Songo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ferroviario Lichinga
30%
Draws
23%
UD Songo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Lichinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviario Lichinga haven't matched UD Songo's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviario Lichinga taking it.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ferroviario Lichinga Clean Sheet 68%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Lichinga UD Songo
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 12
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.32 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs UD Songo
1:1
Oct 20, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs UD Songo
1:4
Jun 29, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Lichinga
1:1
Aug 19, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs UD Songo
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Lichinga
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Lichinga 50 / 100
UD Songo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Lichinga UD Songo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Lichinga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Lichinga scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Ferroviario Lichinga has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

UD Songo let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Lichinga VS UD Songo
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Lichinga

(Home)
16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
30 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
17 Aug
Sofala
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
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UD Songo

(Away)
22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0
Maxaquene
19 Sept
UD Songo
1 : 2
Costa do Sol
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2
UD Songo
06 Sept
UD Songo
0 : 1
Petro Atletico
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 19 11 4 4 26:12 37
3 Ferroviario Beira 19 9 7 3 23:13 34
4 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
5 UD Songo 19 6 10 3 21:15 28
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
7 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
8 ENH Vilankulo 18 4 8 6 19:17 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Chingale de Tete 19 2 6 11 5:17 12
14 Maxaquene 19 1 7 11 8:24 10
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)