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Ferroviario Lichinga vs UD Songo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ferroviario Lichinga
35%
Draws
32%
UD Songo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Ferroviario Lichinga haven't matched UD Songo's recent run of results.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ferroviario Lichinga Clean Sheet 21%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Lichinga UD Songo
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 10 18
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.36 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs UD Songo
1:1
Oct 20, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs UD Songo
1:4
Jun 29, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Lichinga
1:1
Aug 19, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs UD Songo
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Lichinga
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Lichinga 32 / 100
UD Songo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Lichinga UD Songo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Songo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Lichinga scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Ferroviario Lichinga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

UD Songo let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Lichinga VS UD Songo
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Lichinga

(Home)
10 Aug
Ferroviario Lichinga
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
07 Aug
Ferroviario Lichinga
1 : 1
UD Songo
27 Jul
Ferroviario Maputo
2 : 0
Ferroviario Lichinga
24 Jul
Associacao Black Bulls
1 : 0
Ferroviario Lichinga
29 Jun
Ferroviario Lichinga
2 : 1
Maxaquene
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UD Songo

(Away)
07 Aug
Ferroviario Lichinga
1 : 1
UD Songo
27 Jul
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 0
UD Songo
24 Jul
Ferroviario Nampula
0 : 0
UD Songo
01 Jul
UD Songo
3 : 0
AD Pemba
26 Jun
UD Songo
1 : 1
Baia de Pemba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 12 7 5 0 17:4 26
2 Ferroviario Beira 13 7 5 1 18:7 26
3 Ferroviario Nampula 12 6 3 3 15:14 21
4 Costa do Sol 11 5 4 2 15:8 19
5 UD Songo 12 4 7 1 13:9 19
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 12 5 3 4 10:11 18
7 Ferroviario Nacala 12 4 4 4 7:9 16
8 Ferroviario Maputo 12 4 3 5 7:6 15
9 Sofala 12 3 5 4 7:13 14
10 ENH Vilankulo 12 2 7 3 14:12 13
11 Baia de Pemba 12 1 6 5 5:9 9
12 Maxaquene 12 1 5 6 5:12 8
13 Chingale de Tete 13 1 5 7 2:11 8
14 AD Pemba 11 2 2 7 5:15 8
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)