Sport Picks
Ferroviario Maputo vs Baia de Pemba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
The Mocambola game between Ferroviario Maputo and Baia de Pemba finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
20%
35%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferroviario Maputo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ferroviario Maputo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Ferroviario Maputo's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.4%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 68%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 23%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Maputo | Baia de Pemba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 25 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.78 | 0.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 6, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Baia de Pemba
0:0
Nov 28, 2025 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Ferroviario Maputo
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Baia de Pemba
0:0
Aug 24, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Baia de Pemba
1:0
May 5, 2024 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Ferroviario Maputo
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario Maputo 68 / 100
Baia de Pemba 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Maputo Baia de Pemba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviario Maputo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Ferroviario Maputo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Baia de Pemba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 25 matches.
Ferroviario Maputo scored in 56% of their last 27 games.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Maputo VS Baia de Pemba
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario Maputo
(Home) 08 Oct
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
19 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1 Costa do Sol
09 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
2 : 0 AD Pemba
Page 1 of 3
Baia de Pemba
(Away) 13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0 Baia de Pemba
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
19 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 5
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0 Baia de Pemba
09 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
1 : 0 Baia de Pemba
06 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 Baia de Pemba
01 Jul
Chingale de Tete
0 : 0 Baia de Pemba
26 Jun
UD Songo
1 : 1 Baia de Pemba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 26:12 | 37 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:13 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 5 | UD Songo | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 21:15 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 11 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 12 | AD Pemba | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 5:17 | 12 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
