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Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Ferroviario Maputo and Ferroviario Beira finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Beira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ferroviario Maputo
40%
Draws
29%
Ferroviario Beira
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviario Beira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Maputo Ferroviario Beira
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
3:1
Jul 29, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:0
Sep 13, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
1:0
May 19, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Maputo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Maputo 42 / 100
Ferroviario Beira 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Maputo Ferroviario Beira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Maputo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviario Maputo scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ferroviario Beira conceded in 39% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Maputo VS Ferroviario Beira
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.13
25% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Maputo

(Home)
25 Jun
ENH Vilankulo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Maputo
21 Jun
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
18 Jun
Ferroviario Maputo
2 : 0
Sofala
22 May
UD Songo
2 : 0
Ferroviario Maputo
18 May
Chingale de Tete
0 : 0
Ferroviario Maputo
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Ferroviario Beira

(Away)
03 Jul
Ferroviario Beira
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
28 Jun
Ferroviario Beira
2 : 2
Ferroviario Nampula
21 Jun
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
17 Jun
Associacao Black Bulls
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
21 May
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 0
Maxaquene
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviario Beira954011:319
2UD Songo944112:816
3Costa do Sol943212:815
4Associacao Black Bulls835010:314
5Ferroviario Lichinga74218:414
6Ferroviario Nampula741211:1113
7Ferroviario Nacala73316:412
8Sofala92435:1010
9ENH Vilankulo916210:99
10Ferroviario Maputo82243:58
11AD Pemba72144:97
12Maxaquene90454:114
13Chingale de Tete90451:84
14Baia de Pemba70343:73
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)