Sport Picks
Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
The Mocambola game between Ferroviario Maputo and Ferroviario Beira finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Beira.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Ferroviario Beira carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Maputo | Ferroviario Beira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.78 | 0.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
3:1
Jul 29, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:0
Sep 13, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
1:0
May 19, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Maputo
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario Maputo 42 / 100
Ferroviario Beira 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Maputo Ferroviario Beira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferroviario Maputo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Ferroviario Maputo scored in 52% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Ferroviario Beira conceded in 52% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Maputo VS Ferroviario Beira
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario Maputo
(Home) 15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1 Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1 Costa do Sol
09 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
2 : 0 AD Pemba
06 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 Baia de Pemba
Page 1 of 3
Ferroviario Beira
(Away) 16 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 2 Associacao Black Bulls
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1 Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
UD Songo
0 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1 Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
UD Songo
0 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
06 Aug
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 24:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 34 |
| 4 | UD Songo | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 20:13 | 28 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Maputo | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 13:11 | 23 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 11 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 12 | AD Pemba | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Maxaquene | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 8:23 | 10 |
| 14 | Chingale de Tete | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 4:17 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
