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Ferroviario Maputo vs UD Songo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ferroviario Maputo
35%
Draws
25%
UD Songo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferroviario Maputo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ferroviario Maputo haven't matched UD Songo's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviario Maputo taking it.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 20%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Maputo UD Songo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.87 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs UD Songo
0:0
May 22, 2026 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Maputo
2:0
Nov 5, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Maputo
1:0
Jun 22, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs UD Songo
3:2
Oct 28, 2024 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Maputo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Maputo 36 / 100
UD Songo 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Maputo UD Songo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ferroviario Maputo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Ferroviario Maputo's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

UD Songo let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Maputo VS UD Songo
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Maputo

(Home)
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
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UD Songo

(Away)
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2
UD Songo
06 Sept
UD Songo
0 : 1
Petro Atletico
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
29 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
3 : 1
UD Songo
23 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 0
Sofala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 18 12 5 1 27:9 41
2 Costa do Sol 18 10 4 4 24:11 34
3 Ferroviario Beira 18 9 7 2 23:12 34
4 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
5 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
6 UD Songo 17 5 10 2 16:13 25
7 Ferroviario Maputo 18 6 5 7 13:11 23
8 ENH Vilankulo 17 4 8 5 19:16 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 18 4 6 8 8:18 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Maxaquene 17 1 7 9 8:19 10
14 Chingale de Tete 18 1 6 11 4:17 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)