Sport Picks
Ferroviario Nacala vs ENH Vilankulo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
Ferroviario Nacala in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Nacala.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ENH Vilankulo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Ferroviario Nacala have won more games recently than ENH Vilankulo.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Ferroviario Nacala Clean Sheet 20%
ENH Vilankulo Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Nacala | ENH Vilankulo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.59 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs ENH Vilankulo
1:0
May 23, 2026 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Ferroviario Nacala
1:1
Dec 28, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs ENH Vilankulo
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Ferroviario Nacala
0:0
Sep 22, 2023 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs ENH Vilankulo
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario Nacala 32 / 100
ENH Vilankulo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Nacala ENH Vilankulo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Away concern: ENH Vilankulo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Ferroviario Nacala scored in 44% of their last 27 outings.
ENH Vilankulo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 0.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Nacala VS ENH Vilankulo
0.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
13% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario Nacala
(Home) 16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
21 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
17 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 1 Associacao Black Bulls
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
17 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 1 Associacao Black Bulls
14 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 Ferroviario Maputo
01 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 1 Chingale de Tete
27 Jul
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 0 UD Songo
Page 1 of 3
ENH Vilankulo
(Away) 08 Oct
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
16 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 0 AD Pemba
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0 Baia de Pemba
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
16 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
13 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 26:12 | 37 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:13 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 5 | UD Songo | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 21:15 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 11 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 12 | AD Pemba | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 5:17 | 12 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
