Sport Picks
Ferroviario Nacala vs UD Songo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD Songo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: UD Songo at 1.33 per game, Ferroviario Nacala at 0.58.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Ferroviario Nacala Clean Sheet 20%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Nacala | UD Songo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.58 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.65 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 27, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs UD Songo
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Nacala
2:0
May 18, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs UD Songo
2:2
Jul 23, 2023 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs UD Songo
1:0
Apr 16, 2023 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Nacala
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario Nacala 32 / 100
UD Songo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Nacala UD Songo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Songo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Ferroviario Nacala found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (26 games).
UD Songo has conceded goals in 52% of their last 27 outings.
Recent resilience: Ferroviario Nacala stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Nacala VS UD Songo
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario Nacala
(Home) 16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
21 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
17 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 1 Associacao Black Bulls
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
17 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 1 Associacao Black Bulls
14 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 Ferroviario Maputo
01 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 1 Chingale de Tete
27 Jul
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 0 UD Songo
Page 1 of 3
UD Songo
(Away) 22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0 Maxaquene
19 Sept
UD Songo
1 : 2 Costa do Sol
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2 UD Songo
06 Sept
UD Songo
0 : 1 Petro Atletico
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 UD Songo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2 UD Songo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 UD Songo
29 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
3 : 1 UD Songo
07 Aug
Ferroviario Lichinga
1 : 1 UD Songo
27 Jul
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 0 UD Songo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 26:12 | 37 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:13 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 5 | UD Songo | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 21:15 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 11 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 12 | AD Pemba | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 5:17 | 12 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
