Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferroviario Nampula vs Costa do Sol

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Abdulkarim Y.
34' Event
Abdulkarim Y.
67' Event
Rafique

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2025 game between Ferroviario Nampula and Costa do Sol finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Nampula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ferroviario Nampula
39%
Draws
31%
Costa do Sol
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviario Nampula has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Costa do Sol.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Mocambola 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 19%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Nampula Costa do Sol
Matches Played 25 26
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Costa do Sol
3:0
Aug 11, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Nampula
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Nampula
0:0
Jun 22, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Costa do Sol
0:1
Aug 27, 2023 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Nampula
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviario Nampula Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulkarim Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rafique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Costa do Sol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Nampula 31 / 100
Costa do Sol 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Nampula Costa do Sol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Nampula scored in 64% of their last 25 games.

Costa do Sol let in goals in 58% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ferroviario Nampula went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Costa do Sol lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Nampula VS Costa do Sol
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Songo22183150:1357
2Associacao Black Bulls23116635:2639
3Ferroviario Beira23107619:1337
4Ferroviario Lichinga2297638:3134
5Ferroviario Maputo23712425:1833
6Baia de Pemba2295824:2132
7ENH Vilankulo24710722:2131
8Costa do Sol23710618:1831
9Ferroviario Nacala2387816:1731
10Chingale de Tete2269722:2127
11Ferroviario Nampula2268821:2926
12Textafrica23481115:3020
13Desportivo de Nacala20261213:3112
14Desportivo Matola22241611:4010