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Ferroviario Nampula vs ENH Vilankulo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario Nampula in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Nampula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ferroviario Nampula
15%
Draws
39%
ENH Vilankulo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario Nampula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • ENH Vilankulo haven't matched Ferroviario Nampula's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 20%
ENH Vilankulo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Nampula ENH Vilankulo
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.08 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs ENH Vilankulo
2:1
May 19, 2026 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Ferroviario Nampula
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Ferroviario Nampula
0:0
May 18, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs ENH Vilankulo
3:1
Aug 17, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs ENH Vilankulo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Nampula 36 / 100
ENH Vilankulo 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Nampula ENH Vilankulo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENH Vilankulo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ferroviario Nampula scored in 65% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Ferroviario Nampula went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: ENH Vilankulo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Nampula VS ENH Vilankulo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Nampula

(Home)
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
Ferroviario Maputo
Page 1 of 6

ENH Vilankulo

(Away)
08 Oct
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
16 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 0
AD Pemba
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0
Baia de Pemba
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 19 11 4 4 26:12 37
3 Ferroviario Beira 19 9 7 3 23:13 34
4 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
5 UD Songo 19 6 10 3 21:15 28
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
7 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
8 ENH Vilankulo 18 4 8 6 19:17 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Chingale de Tete 19 2 6 11 5:17 12
14 Maxaquene 19 1 7 11 8:24 10
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