Sport Picks
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Maputo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
The Mocambola game between Ferroviario Nampula and Ferroviario Maputo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Nampula.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferroviario Maputo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ferroviario Maputo have managed 0.86 goals a game lately — Ferroviario Nampula are scoring more at 1.08.
- Win probability leans Ferroviario Maputo's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Nampula | Ferroviario Maputo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.08 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Maputo
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Nampula
0:0
Aug 29, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Maputo
3:3
Sep 1, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Maputo
1:2
May 12, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Nampula
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario Nampula 16 / 100
Ferroviario Maputo 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Nampula Ferroviario Maputo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviario Maputo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferroviario Nampula found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Ferroviario Nampula stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Ferroviario Maputo has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Nampula VS Ferroviario Maputo
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario Nampula
(Home) 13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
14 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
1 : 3 Associacao Black Bulls
04 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0 Chingale de Tete
24 Jul
Ferroviario Nampula
0 : 0 UD Songo
Page 1 of 3
Ferroviario Maputo
(Away) 08 Oct
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
19 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
14 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 Ferroviario Maputo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 26:12 | 37 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:13 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 5 | UD Songo | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 21:15 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 11 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 12 | AD Pemba | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 5:17 | 12 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
