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Ferroviario Nampula vs UD Songo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Ferroviario Nampula and UD Songo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Ferroviario Nampula
30%
Draws
29%
UD Songo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Nampula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ferroviario Nampula haven't matched UD Songo's recent run of results.
  • Ferroviario Nampula are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 20%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Nampula UD Songo
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 12
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.15 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.12 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs UD Songo
0:0
Sep 26, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs UD Songo
0:1
May 27, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Nampula
3:0
Sep 15, 2024 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Nampula
2:0
May 18, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs UD Songo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Nampula 42 / 100
UD Songo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Nampula UD Songo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Nampula's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Ferroviario Nampula went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: UD Songo conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Nampula VS UD Songo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Nampula

(Home)
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
Ferroviario Maputo
14 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
1 : 3
Associacao Black Bulls
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UD Songo

(Away)
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2
UD Songo
06 Sept
UD Songo
0 : 1
Petro Atletico
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
29 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
3 : 1
UD Songo
23 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 0
Sofala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 17 11 5 1 25:9 38
2 Ferroviario Beira 17 9 7 1 23:10 34
3 Costa do Sol 17 9 4 4 23:11 31
4 Ferroviario Nampula 16 8 4 4 19:18 28
5 UD Songo 17 5 10 2 16:13 25
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 15 7 3 5 13:13 24
7 Ferroviario Maputo 17 5 5 7 11:11 20
8 Baia de Pemba 16 4 7 5 9:10 19
9 Ferroviario Nacala 16 5 4 7 8:12 19
10 Sofala 17 4 6 7 8:16 18
11 AD Pemba 16 5 2 9 9:18 17
12 ENH Vilankulo 15 2 8 5 16:16 14
13 Maxaquene 17 1 7 9 8:19 10
14 Chingale de Tete 17 1 6 10 4:16 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)