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Ferroviario Nampula vs UD Songo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
12:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario Nampula host UD Songo in the Mocambola. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Ferroviario Nampula at 1.38 goals for, 1.38 against; UD Songo at 1.25 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor UD Songo slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2025, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.31) point toward UD Songo. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ferroviario Nampula
39%
Draws
30%
UD Songo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviario Nampula haven't matched UD Songo's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and UD Songo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 18%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Nampula UD Songo
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 9 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs UD Songo
0:1
May 27, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Nampula
3:0
Sep 15, 2024 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Nampula
2:0
May 18, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs UD Songo
3:0
Nov 5, 2023 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Nampula
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Nampula 32 / 100
UD Songo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Nampula UD Songo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UDS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Nampula found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (26 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Ferroviario Nampula remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

UD Songo let in goals in 46% of their last 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Nampula VS UD Songo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviario Beira954011:319
2UD Songo944112:816
3Associacao Black Bulls835010:314
4Ferroviario Lichinga74218:414
5Ferroviario Nampula741211:1113
6Costa do Sol833210:712
7Ferroviario Nacala73316:412
8Sofala92435:1010
9ENH Vilankulo71518:68
10Ferroviario Maputo82243:58
11AD Pemba72144:97
12Chingale de Tete90451:84
13Baia de Pemba70343:73
14Maxaquene80353:103