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Ferroviario-PI vs Julho Esporte

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2023
Wed, Feb 1, 2023
0 - 3
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario-PI host Julho Esporte in the Piauiense 2023. Julho Esporte are expected to control this from the start. Ferroviario-PI have averaged 0 scored and 3 conceded recently, against Julho Esporte's 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Julho Esporte slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2023, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Julho Esporte to edge this. Julho Esporte in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ferroviario-PI
6%
Draws
90%
Julho Esporte
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Julho Esporte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Julho Esporte come out ahead of Ferroviario-PI on wins alone.
  • Model gives Julho Esporte a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Ferroviario-PI Clean Sheet 20%
Julho Esporte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario-PI Julho Esporte
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 0 8
Draws 0 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 3 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2023 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs Ferroviario-PI
3:0
Feb 1, 2023 Piauiense
Ferroviario-PI vs Julho Esporte
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario-PI 10 / 100
Julho Esporte 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario-PI Julho Esporte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Julho Esporte has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Julho Esporte's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ferroviario-PI scored in 50% of their last 14 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario-PI VS Julho Esporte
0 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River-PI1494129:1131
2Fluminense-PI1494124:931
3AE Altos1474321:1025
4Parnahyba1448217:1120
5Julho Esporte1444614:1416
6Corisabba1444620:1813
7Comercial PI1450913:2312
8Ferroviario-PI1400140:420