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Ferroviario U20 vs Caucaia U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario U20 in this Cearense U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ferroviario U20
15%
Draws
26%
Caucaia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ferroviario U20 lately — more wins on the board than Caucaia U20.
  • Ferroviario U20 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Cearense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ferroviario U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Caucaia U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario U20 Caucaia U20
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.82 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Caucaia U20
1:0
Aug 7, 2024 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Caucaia U20
2:1
May 31, 2024 Cearense U20
Caucaia U20 vs Ferroviario U20
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario U20 40 / 100
Caucaia U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario U20 Caucaia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario U20 found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Caucaia U20 let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Ferroviario U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario U20 VS Caucaia U20
0.5 Goals Scored 0.57
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.14
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario U20

(Home)
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
25 Jul
Ferroviario U20
0 : 1
Fortaleza U20
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
20 Jun
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 6

Caucaia U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Caucaia U20
15 Jul
Caucaia U20
1 : 2
Fortaleza U20
06 Jun
Caucaia U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
23 May
Caucaia U20
0 : 2
Quixada U20
09 May
Juazeiro CE U20
0 : 2
Caucaia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floresta EC U20 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
2 Fortaleza U20 7 4 3 0 16:4 15
3 Ferroviario U20 7 4 2 1 6:6 14
4 Quixada U20 7 4 1 2 8:7 13
5 Atletico Cearense U20 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
6 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 7 2 2 3 13:16 8
7 Juazeiro CE U20 7 1 0 6 6:34 3
Promotion - Cearense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 7 5 2 0 20:4 17
2 Tirol U20 7 3 4 0 17:3 13
3 Vila Real U20 7 2 3 2 15:8 9
4 Anjos do Ceu U20 7 3 0 4 9:14 9
5 Horizonte U20 7 2 1 4 9:11 7
6 Caucaia U20 7 1 1 5 4:8 4
7 Tiangua EC U20 7 0 0 7 4:15 0
Promotion - Cearense U20 (Play Offs)