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Ferroviario U20 vs Ceara U20

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Cearense U20
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AI Match Summary

The Cearense U20 game between Ferroviario U20 and Ceara U20 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ferroviario U20
20%
Draws
44%
Ceara U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ceara U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ceara U20 come out ahead of Ferroviario U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ceara U20 a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cearense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Ceara U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario U20 Ceara U20
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 12 23
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.1 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Ceara U20
0:0
Oct 2, 2025 Cearense U20
Ceara U20 vs Ferroviario U20
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Ceara U20
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Cearense U20
Ceara U20 vs Ferroviario U20
2:2
Sep 7, 2024 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Ceara U20
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario U20 22 / 100
Ceara U20 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario U20 Ceara U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario U20's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ceara U20 conceded in 63% of 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ferroviario U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario U20 VS Ceara U20
0.83 Goals Scored 3
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.75
33% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario U20

(Home)
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
25 Jul
Ferroviario U20
0 : 1
Fortaleza U20
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
20 Jun
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 6

Ceara U20

(Away)
09 Sept
Ceara U20
2 : 1
Atletico-PI U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
21 Aug
Tirol U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
08 Aug
Ceara U20
1 : 1
Tirol U20
02 Aug
Ceara U20
3 : 1
Vila Real U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floresta EC U20 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
2 Fortaleza U20 7 4 3 0 16:4 15
3 Ferroviario U20 7 4 2 1 6:6 14
4 Quixada U20 7 4 1 2 8:7 13
5 Atletico Cearense U20 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
6 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 7 2 2 3 13:16 8
7 Juazeiro CE U20 7 1 0 6 6:34 3
Promotion - Cearense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 7 5 2 0 20:4 17
2 Tirol U20 7 3 4 0 17:3 13
3 Vila Real U20 7 2 3 2 15:8 9
4 Anjos do Ceu U20 7 3 0 4 9:14 9
5 Horizonte U20 7 2 1 4 9:11 7
6 Caucaia U20 7 1 1 5 4:8 4
7 Tiangua EC U20 7 0 0 7 4:15 0
Promotion - Cearense U20 (Play Offs)