Sport Picks

Brazil

Cearense U20 2024

Sao Gerardo U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario U20 play Sao Gerardo U20 in the Cearense U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ferroviario U20 averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Sao Gerardo U20 averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Ferroviario U20 won 1, Sao Gerardo U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 13, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Ferroviario U20 and 0.81 for Sao Gerardo U20. This points to a Ferroviario U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Ferroviario U20

27%

Draws

33%

Sao Gerardo U20

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Ferroviario U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Ferroviario U20 picked up more points recently compared to Sao Gerardo U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 62%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 26%

Sao Gerardo U20 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 56%

Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ferroviario U20	Sao Gerardo U20
Matches Played	29	9
Wins	11	4
Draws	8	2
Losses	10	3
Goals Scored	1.17	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.52	1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2024 Cearense U20

Ferroviario U20 vs Sao Gerardo U20

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario U20 41 / 100

Sao Gerardo U20 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ferroviario U20 Sao Gerardo U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ferroviario U20 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ferroviario U20 attacking → ← attacking Sao Gerardo U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario U20 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Sao Gerardo U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Ferroviario U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sao Gerardo U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 14

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00