Sport Picks
Ferroviario vs Goiatuba EC
Brazil
Serie D Estadio Presidente Vargas, Fortaleza 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Serie D. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Ferroviario at 1.38 goals for, 0.5 against; Goiatuba EC at 0.5 for, 0.63 against. Past meetings favor Goiatuba EC slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.50, favoring Goiatuba EC. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Ferroviario come out ahead of Goiatuba EC on wins alone.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Ferroviario have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario | Goiatuba EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ferroviario scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Goiatuba EC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Ferroviario stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
