Sport Picks
Ferroviario vs Goiatuba EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie D Estadio Presidente Vargas, Fortaleza 
Match Events
56'
56'
Vini Hora
77'
77'
Fernando Portel
83'
83'
Roger Henrique
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Goiatuba EC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ferroviario come out ahead of Goiatuba EC on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Ferroviario have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Goiatuba EC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ferroviario Clean Sheet 68%
Goiatuba EC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario | Goiatuba EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Serie D
Ferroviario vs Goiatuba EC
1:2
Jul 18, 2026 Serie D
Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferroviario Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernando Portel
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Goiatuba EC Compare
Top Goalscorer Vini Hora
1 Goals Assists Leader Roger Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario 42 / 100
Goiatuba EC 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Goiatuba EC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ferroviario scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Goiatuba EC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Ferroviario stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario VS Goiatuba EC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario
(Home) 26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2 Goiatuba EC
18 Jul
Goiatuba EC
3 : 0 Ferroviario
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0 Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1 Ferroviario
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0 Central SC
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2 Goiatuba EC
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0 Imperatriz
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0 Central SC
13 Jun
Ferroviario
1 : 0 Fluminense-PI
23 May
Ferroviario
3 : 1 AE Altos
Page 1 of 4
Goiatuba EC
(Away) 02 Sept
Goiatuba EC
1 : 1 EC Sao Jose (PA)
26 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
0 : 0 Goiatuba EC
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1 Goiatuba EC
08 Aug
Goiatuba EC
0 : 0 ASA
26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2 Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
0 : 0 Goiatuba EC
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1 Goiatuba EC
26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2 Goiatuba EC
12 Jul
Manauara
1 : 3 Goiatuba EC
21 Jun
Brasiliense
0 : 0 Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
