Sport Picks
Ferroviario vs Imperatriz
Brazil
Serie D Estadio Presidente Vargas, Fortaleza 
Match Events
45'
45'
Pedro Gomes
81'
81'
Black L.
90'
90'
Freitas R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Imperatriz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ferroviario lately — more wins on the board than Imperatriz.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Ferroviario have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ferroviario, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ferroviario Clean Sheet 20%
Imperatriz Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario | Imperatriz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Serie D
Ferroviario vs Imperatriz
3:0
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Imperatriz vs Ferroviario
1:1
Nov 28, 2020 Serie C
Ferroviario vs Imperatriz
7:0
Sep 26, 2020 Serie C
Imperatriz vs Ferroviario
1:2
Aug 17, 2019 Serie C
Imperatriz vs Ferroviario
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferroviario Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro Gomes
1 Goals Assists Leader Black L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Imperatriz Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario 32 / 100
Imperatriz 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Imperatriz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferroviario found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Imperatriz has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Ferroviario remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario VS Imperatriz
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario
(Home) 26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2 Goiatuba EC
18 Jul
Goiatuba EC
3 : 0 Ferroviario
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0 Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1 Ferroviario
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0 Central SC
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26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2 Goiatuba EC
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0 Imperatriz
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0 Central SC
13 Jun
Ferroviario
1 : 0 Fluminense-PI
23 May
Ferroviario
3 : 1 AE Altos
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Imperatriz
(Away) 12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0 Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1 Ferroviario
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1 Imperatriz
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1 Maracana
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0 Tuna Luso
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12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0 Imperatriz
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1 Imperatriz
31 May
Oratorio
0 : 1 Imperatriz
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0 Imperatriz
04 May
Trem
2 : 1 Imperatriz
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
