Sport Picks

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Ferroviario vs Jacuipense

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Estadio Presidente Vargas, Fortaleza
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Pablinho
18'
Gabriel Pereira
38'
Tiago Santana

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Ferroviario
35%
Draws
24%
Jacuipense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferroviario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Ferroviario carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ferroviario a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Ferroviario have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ferroviario, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ferroviario Clean Sheet 68%
Jacuipense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Jacuipense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Ferroviario vs Jacuipense
1:0
Aug 28, 2021 Serie C
Ferroviario vs Jacuipense
0:0
Jun 26, 2021 Serie C
Jacuipense vs Ferroviario
1:0
Nov 14, 2020 Serie C
Ferroviario vs Jacuipense
0:0
Sep 14, 2020 Serie C
Jacuipense vs Ferroviario
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviario Compare

Top Goalscorer Pablinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jacuipense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario 50 / 100
Jacuipense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Jacuipense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ferroviario scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Jacuipense conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ferroviario stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario VS Jacuipense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario

(Home)
26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2
Goiatuba EC
18 Jul
Goiatuba EC
3 : 0
Ferroviario
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0
Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Ferroviario
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0
Central SC
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Jacuipense

(Away)
28 Jun
Treze PB
0 : 0
Jacuipense
21 Jun
Jacuipense
1 : 3
Treze PB
14 Jun
Jacuipense
1 : 1
ASA
31 May
CSA
1 : 1
Jacuipense
24 May
Jacuipense
2 : 2
Juazeirense
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