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Ferrymead Bays vs Cashmere Technical - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferrymead Bays host Cashmere Technical in the National League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Ferrymead Bays have averaged 1.5 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Cashmere Technical's 2.83 scored and 1.9 conceded. Head-to-head, Ferrymead Bays have won 0 to Cashmere Technical's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.13) point toward Cashmere Technical. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Ferrymead Bays
15%
Draws
60%
Cashmere Technical
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cashmere Technical

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Ferrymead Bays haven't matched Cashmere Technical's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cashmere Technical a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Ferrymead Bays Clean Sheet 20%
Cashmere Technical Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferrymead Bays Cashmere Technical
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 1 15
Draws 1 4
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2.83
Goals Conceded 2 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Cashmere Technical vs Ferrymead Bays
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferrymead Bays 10 / 100
Cashmere Technical 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferrymead Bays Cashmere Technical

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cashmere Technical Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cashmere Technical's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ferrymead Bays scored in 75% of their last 4 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Ferrymead Bays remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferrymead Bays VS Cashmere Technical
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferrymead Bays

(Home)
03 Oct
Wellington Olympic
1 : 2
Ferrymead Bays
26 Sept
Ferrymead Bays
0 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
24 Feb
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Ferrymead Bays
05 Jul
Ferrymead Bays
3 : 5
Coastal Spirit

Cashmere Technical

(Away)
04 Oct
Cashmere Technical
10 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
27 Sept
Birkenhead
0 : 4
Cashmere Technical
05 Sept
Cashmere Technical
1 : 2
Fencibles United AFC
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Napier City
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cashmere Technical 2 2 0 0 14:0 6
2 Auckland United 2 1 1 0 8:2 4
3 Miramar 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Ferrymead Bays 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Auckland City 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
6 Wellington Olympic 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
7 Eastern Suburbs 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
8 Napier City 2 0 1 1 2:8 1
9 Wellington Phoenix 2 2 0 1 1 1:11 1
10 Auckland FC 2 2 0 0 2 3:5 0
11 Birkenhead 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)