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Fethiyespor vs Galatasaray - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2025/2026 Fethiye Beşkaza Spor Salonu, Fethiye
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Unyay A. In: Bardakci A.
Out: Unyay A.
38' Event
Icardi M.
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Lemina M. In: Yilmaz B.
Out: Lemina M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Galatasaray advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fethiyespor
20%
Draws
40%
Galatasaray
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Galatasaray carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fethiyespor are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Galatasaray arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Galatasaray, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fethiyespor Clean Sheet 14%
Galatasaray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fethiyespor Galatasaray
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.19 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Turkish Cup
Fethiyespor vs Galatasaray
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fethiyespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayhan U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Galatasaray Compare

Top Goalscorer Bardakci A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yilmaz B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fethiyespor 66 / 100
Galatasaray 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fethiyespor Galatasaray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fethiyespor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galatasaray has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Fethiyespor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Fethiyespor scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Fethiyespor VS Galatasaray
0.71 Goals Scored 2.13
1.14 Goals Conceded 2.13
57% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 100%
14% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fethiyespor

(Home)
07 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Fethiyespor
03 Oct
Fethiyespor
0 : 1
Karacabey Bld.
27 Sept
Serik Spor
0 : 1
Fethiyespor
20 Sept
Fethiyespor
1 : 1
12 Bingol Spor
12 Sept
Ankara Demirspor
3 : 1
Fethiyespor
Page 1 of 7

Galatasaray

(Away)
02 Oct
Pendikspor
3 : 3
Galatasaray
19 Sept
Trabzonspor
4 : 0
Galatasaray
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1
Galatasaray
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3
Galatasaray
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 4 4 0 0 8:3 12
2 Trabzonspor 4 3 0 1 13:4 9
3 Alanyaspor 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
4 Basaksehir 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
5 F. Karagumruk 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
6 Boluspor 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
7 Istanbulspor AS 4 0 2 2 2:9 2
8 Fethiyespor 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Samsunspor 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Konyaspor 4 4 0 0 9:1 12
3 Genclerbirligi 4 3 1 0 9:5 10
4 Igdir FK 4 1 2 1 9:4 5
5 Eyupspor 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
6 Bodrumspor 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
7 Aliaga 4 0 1 3 5:16 1
8 Antalyaspor 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Besiktas 4 3 1 0 10:3 10
2 Fenerbahce 4 3 0 1 9:3 9
3 Erzurumspor FK 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
4 Gaziantep 4 2 0 2 8:10 6
5 Kocaelispor 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
6 Rizespor 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
7 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
8 Keciorengucu 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams