Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Bronkhorst I.
28'
28'
Zagre A.
Assist: van Gassel S.
33'
33'
Moder J.
AI Match Summary
The Eredivisie 2025/2026 game between Feyenoord and Excelsior finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Feyenoord.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Feyenoord
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Feyenoord come out ahead of Excelsior on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior taking it.
- Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Feyenoord here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Feyenoord Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Feyenoord | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Eredivisie
Feyenoord vs Excelsior
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Feyenoord
1:2
May 19, 2024 Eredivisie
Feyenoord vs Excelsior
4:0
Nov 25, 2023 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Feyenoord
2:4
May 7, 2023 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Feyenoord
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Feyenoord Compare
Top Goalscorer Ueda A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Zagre A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Feyenoord 18 / 100
Excelsior 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Feyenoord Excelsior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EXC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Feyenoord scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Feyenoord went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Excelsior's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Feyenoord VS Excelsior
2.63 Goals Scored 3.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Feyenoord
(Home) 09 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1 Feyenoord
02 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 1 Atalanta
26 Jul
Feyenoord
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1 Charleroi
11 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1 Club Brugge
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 1 Atalanta
26 Jul
Feyenoord
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1 Charleroi
11 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1 Club Brugge
10 May
Feyenoord
1 : 1 AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 3
Excelsior
(Away) 07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4 Excelsior
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5 Excelsior
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5 Excelsior
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3 Excelsior
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2 Excelsior
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4 Excelsior
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5 Excelsior
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5 Excelsior
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3 Excelsior
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2 Excelsior
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 65 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 59 |
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 48 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | 43 |
| 11 | Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | 39 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | 37 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | 37 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)
