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Fezzanese vs Alba

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bruccini M.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Yanken S.
23' Event
Bruccini M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between Fezzanese and Alba finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fezzanese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fezzanese
30%
Draws
33%
Alba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fezzanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Fezzanese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fezzanese's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 68%
Alba Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fezzanese Alba
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.26 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Fezzanese vs Alba
3:1
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Alba vs Fezzanese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fezzanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruccini M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mariotti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Alba Compare

Top Goalscorer Yanken S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fezzanese 68 / 100
Alba 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fezzanese Alba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fezzanese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alba has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Fezzanese scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Fezzanese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fezzanese VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fezzanese

(Home)
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
04 May
Fezzanese
3 : 3
Ghiviborgo
27 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 0
Fezzanese
Page 1 of 7

Alba

(Away)
12 May
Derthona FbC
3 : 0
Alba
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Alba
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Alba
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)