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Fezzanese vs Ostiamare

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Mercuri L.

AI Match Summary

Ostiamare in this Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostiamare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Fezzanese
20%
Draws
22%
Ostiamare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fezzanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Fezzanese haven't matched Ostiamare's recent run of results.
  • Fezzanese are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 68%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fezzanese Ostiamare
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Fezzanese vs Ostiamare
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Ostiamare vs Fezzanese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fezzanese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ostiamare Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercuri L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fezzanese 77 / 100
Ostiamare 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fezzanese Ostiamare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fezzanese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fezzanese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ostiamare has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Fezzanese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fezzanese VS Ostiamare
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fezzanese

(Home)
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
04 May
Fezzanese
3 : 3
Ghiviborgo
27 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 0
Fezzanese
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Ostiamare

(Away)
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2
Ostiamare
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Ostiamare
29 Aug
Ostiamare
1 : 2
Grosseto
23 Aug
Perugia
1 : 0
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)