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FF Norden vs Lorentzweiler - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with FF Norden advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FF Norden
15%
Draws
42%
Lorentzweiler
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FF Norden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lorentzweiler carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FF Norden a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Lorentzweiler arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FF Norden, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FF Norden Clean Sheet 15%
Lorentzweiler Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FF Norden Lorentzweiler
Matches Played 17 19
Wins 6 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.12 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.94 2.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
FF Norden vs Lorentzweiler
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FF Norden 41 / 100
Lorentzweiler 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FF Norden Lorentzweiler

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorentzweiler has conceded goals in 89% of their last 19 outings.

FF Norden scored in 71% of their last 17 games.

Lorentzweiler lost 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

FF Norden VS Lorentzweiler
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FF Norden

(Home)
21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4
Mondercange
03 Apr
FF Norden
1 : 2
UNA Strassen
29 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 0
Lorentzweiler
01 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 0
Victoria Rosport
02 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 4
Grevenmacher
Page 1 of 4

Lorentzweiler

(Away)
20 Sept
Erpeldange
3 : 4
Lorentzweiler
16 Jul
Lorentzweiler
3 : 5
FC Residence Walferdange
09 Nov
Lorentzweiler
2 : 4
FC Rodange 91
21 Sept
Gasperich
0 : 1
Lorentzweiler
06 Oct
Lorentzweiler
0 : 2
Victoria Rosport
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Kopstal 33 0
Grevenmacher 2
Diekirch 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
US Sandweiler 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
Wiltz 4
FF Norden 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Oberkorn 1
Lorentzweiler 4
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 0
UNA Strassen 5
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Fola 1
US Berdorf Consdorf 3
Rumelange 4
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Mertzig 1
FC Mamer 4
FC Schengen 1
Jeunesse Esch 5
Kehlen 2
FC Rodange 91 3
Steinfort 0
Bettembourg 1
Red Star Merl/Belair 3
Berdenia Berbourg 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Hesperange 3
Lintgen 1
Hostert 3
Bissen 3
Union Titus Petange 5
ALSS Luxembourg 2
Avenir Beggen 1
CS Sanem 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Union Remich/Bous 0
Schifflange 4
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Kaerjeng 5
Erpeldange 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Gasperich 0
Mondorf 4
Racing Troisvierges 1
Alisontia Steinsel 7
FC Orania Vianden 0
Ettelbruck 2
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 0
FC Residence Walferdange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 11
FC Koerich/Simmern 1
Koeppchen 3
Jeunesse Useldange 1
Mondercange 3
US Feulen 0
Dudelange 4
Luxembourg City 1
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Grevenmacher 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
Jeunesse Canach 4
Wiltz 3
FF Norden 1
Lorentzweiler 0
UNA Strassen 4
Fola 3
Rumelange 4
FC Marisca Mersch 0
FC Mamer 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
FC Rodange 91 3
Bettembourg 4
Red Star Merl/Belair 2
Hesperange 3
Hostert 2
Union Titus Petange 1
ALSS Luxembourg 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Schifflange 3
Kaerjeng 2
Erpeldange 1
Mondorf 8
Alisontia Steinsel 5
Ettelbruck 1
FC Residence Walferdange 3
Progres Niedercorn 5
Koeppchen 2
Mondercange 5
Dudelange 0
Differdange 2
1/8-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
FF Norden 1
UNA Strassen 2
Rumelange 0
Jeunesse Esch 5
Bettembourg 2
Hesperange 3
Hostert 1
Racing Luxembourg 0
Schifflange 1
Mondorf 2
Alisontia Steinsel 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
Mondercange 0
Differdange 3
Quarter-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 0
UNA Strassen 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Hesperange 2
Hostert 1
Mondorf 2
Progres Niedercorn 2
Differdange 0
Semi-finals
UNA Strassen 0
Hesperange 2
Mondorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
Final
Hesperange 1
Progres Niedercorn 2