Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fgura vs Mdina

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Mdina advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Fgura
20%
Draws
34%
Mdina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fgura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Fgura carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Fgura taking it.
  • Fgura have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mdina, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Fgura Clean Sheet 18%
Mdina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fgura Mdina
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 15 3
Draws 3 0
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2013 FA Trophy
Fgura vs Mdina
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fgura 85 / 100
Mdina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fgura Mdina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fgura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fgura found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Mdina has conceded goals in 92% of their last 12 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Fgura went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fgura VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fgura

(Home)
19 Sept
Fgura
1 : 1
Sirens
13 Sept
Zebbug
0 : 4
Fgura
19 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 1
Fgura
11 Apr
Melita
0 : 1
Fgura
04 Apr
Fgura
0 : 4
Pieta
Page 1 of 7

Mdina

(Away)
06 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
7 : 0
Mdina
30 Nov
Mdina
1 : 4
Pieta
28 Oct
Mdina
2 : 1
Gharb
09 Sept
Zebbug Rovers
0 : 1
Mdina
10 Sept
Mdina
2 : 3
Mellieha
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
Xbiex 4
Ghajnsielem 1
TBD -
Pembroke -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
Qrendi 2
Swieqi 3
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Kercem Ajax 6
St. Lawrence 2
Santa Lucia 1
Luqa 2
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
Sirens 10
Sannat Lions 1
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Munxar 1
Mtarfa 0
Oratory 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija 4
Kalkara 0
TBD -
Lija -
Melita -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 2
Nadur 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Xaghra 2
St. Venera 1
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Mgarr 2
Attard 0
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
Victoria Wanderers 2
Xghajra 0
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qormi -
1/32-finals
Gzira 5
Zurrieq 1
Xbiex 0
Pembroke 6
Siggiewi 5
Swieqi 2
Zabbar 3
St. George's FC 4
Kercem Ajax 1
Luqa 2
Fgura 1
Mdina 2
Sirens 1
Marsa 0
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
Zejtun 0
Gudja 1
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Oratory 0
TBD -
Floriana -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Xewkija 0
Lija 4
Melita 3
Nadur 0
TBD -
Valletta -
Pieta 1
Hamrun 0
Xaghra 0
Mqabba FC 1
Senglea 4
Kirkop 2
TBD -
Hibernians -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Msida 0
Birzebbuga 1
Zebbug 3
Dingli Swallows 0
TBD -
Sliema -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
San Gwann 4
Marsaxlokk 0
Mgarr 0
St. Andrews 3
Tarxien -
TBD -
Gharghur 1
Mellieha 4
Victoria Wanderers 1
Marsaskala FC 0
TBD -
Qormi -
1/16-finals
Gzira 1
Pembroke 0
Siggiewi 0
St. George's FC 6
Kercem Ajax 5
Mdina 1
Sirens 1
Rabat Ajax 3
Naxxar Lions 3
Gudja 0
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Floriana 4
Mosta FC 2
Lija 1
Melita 1
Valletta 3
Pieta 1
Mqabba FC 0
Senglea 1
Hibernians 6
Balzan FC 5
Birzebbuga 2
Zebbug 1
Sliema 3
Birkirkara 4
Vittoriosa 1
San Gwann 1
St. Andrews 2
Tarxien 1
Mellieha 0
Victoria Wanderers 0
Qormi 1
1/8-finals
Gzira 2
St. George's FC 1
Kercem Ajax 1
Rabat Ajax 5
Naxxar Lions 1
Floriana 0
Mosta FC 0
Valletta 3
Pieta 1
Hibernians 0
Balzan FC 1
Sliema 2
Birkirkara 4
St. Andrews 0
Tarxien 0
Qormi 1
Quarter-finals
Gzira 2
Rabat Ajax 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Valletta 1
Pieta 0
Sliema 2
Birkirkara 1
Qormi 3
Semi-finals
Gzira 0
Valletta 2
Sliema 1
Qormi 0
Final
Valletta 1
Sliema 0