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Fgura vs St. Andrews - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2025/2026 Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Akande T.
83' Event
Formosa K.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Fgura and St. Andrews finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fgura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Fgura
35%
Draws
13%
St. Andrews
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fgura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fgura come out ahead of St. Andrews on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fgura's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Fgura Clean Sheet 17%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fgura St. Andrews
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Challenge League
Fgura vs St. Andrews
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Fgura
1:2
Feb 16, 2025 Challenge League
Fgura vs St. Andrews
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Challenge League
Fgura vs St. Andrews
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Fgura
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fgura Compare

Top Goalscorer Akande T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Formosa K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

St. Andrews Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fgura 84 / 100
St. Andrews 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fgura St. Andrews

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fgura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fgura scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

St. Andrews's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Fgura stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: St. Andrews registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fgura VS St. Andrews
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fgura

(Home)
19 Sept
Fgura
1 : 1
Sirens
13 Sept
Zebbug
0 : 4
Fgura
19 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 1
Fgura
11 Apr
Melita
0 : 1
Fgura
04 Apr
Fgura
0 : 4
Pieta
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St. Andrews

(Away)
18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0
St. Andrews
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3
Birzebbuga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Balzan FC 22 15 3 4 50:21 48
2 Swieqi 22 14 4 4 48:28 46
3 Birzebbuga 22 14 4 4 47:27 46
4 Melita 22 12 2 8 42:28 38
5 Sirens 22 11 2 9 50:33 35
6 Pieta 22 10 5 7 42:34 35
7 Fgura 22 10 2 10 41:37 32
8 St. Andrews 22 8 3 11 26:38 27
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)