Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fica vs Racing des Gonaives

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fica play Racing des Gonaives in the Championnat National 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fica averaged 0.68 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. Racing des Gonaives averaged 0.74 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Fica won 1, Racing des Gonaives won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 28, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.89 for Fica and 0.94 for Racing des Gonaives. This points to a Fica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Fica
35%
Draws
31%
Racing des Gonaives
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Fica picked up more points recently compared to Racing des Gonaives.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.89 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 14%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fica Clean Sheet 24%
Racing des Gonaives Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 44%
Second Half Goal 47%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fica Racing des Gonaives
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 14 13
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.68 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.84 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs Fica
1:0
Mar 30, 2024 Championnat National
Fica vs Racing des Gonaives
0:0
Dec 19, 2020 Championnat National
Fica vs Racing des Gonaives
2:1
Nov 24, 2019 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs Fica
0:0
May 19, 2019 Championnat National
Fica vs Racing des Gonaives
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fica 35 / 100
Racing des Gonaives 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fica Racing des Gonaives

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fica or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +33.4%
5.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fica attacking → ← attacking Racing des Gonaives

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fica scored in 45% of their last 31 games.

Racing des Gonaives let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Fica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Racing des Gonaives lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 34
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.14

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Real Hope850310:515
2Ouanaminthe84136:613
3Racing des Gonaives83329:812
4AS Capoise83236:611
5Fica81252:85
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cosmopolites83325:412
2Baltimore83324:312
3Tempete82514:311
4Triomphe Liancourt82333:59
5Rivartibonitienne82243:48
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America des Cayes642015:314
2Cavaly62318:79
3Racing Haitien61323:96
4Juventus60242:92
5Violette00000:00