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Fica vs Real Hope - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Championnat National 2024 game between Fica and Real Hope finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Hope.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Fica
35%
Draws
41%
Real Hope
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Hope

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Hope come out ahead of Fica on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Fica Clean Sheet 20%
Real Hope Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fica Real Hope
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 14
Draws 13 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.69 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Championnat National
Real Hope vs Fica
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Championnat National
Fica vs Real Hope
1:0
Apr 21, 2024 Championnat National
Fica vs Real Hope
0:2
Mar 24, 2024 Championnat National
Real Hope vs Fica
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fica 32 / 100
Real Hope 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fica Real Hope

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fica scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Real Hope conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

Fica VS Real Hope
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fica

(Home)
28 May
AS Capoise
0 : 0
Fica
25 May
Fica
1 : 1
AS Capoise
04 May
Fica
0 : 2
AS Capoise
27 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 0
Fica
20 Apr
Ouanaminthe
1 : 1
Fica
Page 1 of 6

Real Hope

(Away)
04 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
Real Hope
27 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 0
Fica
20 Apr
AS Capoise
0 : 1
Real Hope
06 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 1
Ouanaminthe
30 Mar
Fica
1 : 0
Real Hope
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Hope 8 5 0 3 10:5 15
2 Ouanaminthe 8 4 1 3 6:6 13
3 Racing des Gonaives 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 AS Capoise 8 3 2 3 6:6 11
5 Fica 8 1 2 5 2:8 5
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cosmopolites 8 3 3 2 5:4 12
2 Baltimore 8 3 3 2 4:3 12
3 Tempete 8 2 5 1 4:3 11
4 Triomphe Liancourt 8 2 3 3 3:5 9
5 Rivartibonitienne 8 2 2 4 3:4 8
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America des Cayes 6 4 2 0 15:3 14
2 Cavaly 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Racing Haitien 6 1 3 2 3:9 6
4 Juventus 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
5 Violette 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)