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Figline vs Livorno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Rufini C.
24' Event
Dionisi F.
27' Event
Rufini C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Figline and Livorno finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Figline.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Figline
30%
Draws
41%
Livorno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Livorno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Livorno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Figline a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Figline Clean Sheet 19%
Livorno Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figline Livorno
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Figline vs Livorno
4:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Livorno vs Figline
3:1
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Figline vs Livorno
2:1
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Livorno vs Figline
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Figline Compare

Top Goalscorer Rufini C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mugelli F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Dionisi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figline 36 / 100
Livorno 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figline Livorno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Livorno let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Figline has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Figline found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Figline VS Livorno
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Figline

(Home)
19 Aug
Montevarchi
0 : 0
Figline
11 May
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 0
Figline
04 May
Figline
4 : 1
Livorno
27 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
Figline
17 Apr
Figline
0 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6

Livorno

(Away)
03 Oct
Livorno
0 : 1
Pescara
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Livorno
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0
Livorno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)