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Figline vs SC Cenaia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Diarra I.
16' Event
Banchelli I.
23' Event
Diarra I.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 game between Figline and SC Cenaia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Figline.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Figline
35%
Draws
32%
SC Cenaia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Figline come out ahead of SC Cenaia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Figline's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Figline Clean Sheet 68%
SC Cenaia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figline SC Cenaia
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.94 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Figline vs SC Cenaia
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group E
SC Cenaia vs Figline
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Figline Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Banchelli I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

SC Cenaia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figline 50 / 100
SC Cenaia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figline SC Cenaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Figline Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SC Cenaia conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Figline went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Figline scored in 49% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Figline VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Figline

(Home)
19 Aug
Montevarchi
0 : 0
Figline
11 May
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 0
Figline
04 May
Figline
4 : 1
Livorno
27 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
Figline
17 Apr
Figline
0 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 7

SC Cenaia

(Away)
05 May
Mobilieri Ponsacco
0 : 3
SC Cenaia
28 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 3
Ghiviborgo
21 Apr
Poggibonsi
4 : 1
SC Cenaia
14 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 1
Sangiovannese
07 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1
SC Cenaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pianese 34 19 11 4 62:35 68
2 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 11 5 44:25 65
3 Grosseto 34 16 15 3 53:33 63
4 Livorno 34 16 11 7 49:32 59
5 Tau 34 15 13 6 55:31 58
6 Seravezza Pozzi 34 17 6 11 49:40 57
7 Poggibonsi 34 15 7 12 48:42 52
8 Ghiviborgo 34 15 5 14 54:54 50
9 Figline 34 12 13 9 45:43 49
10 Sporting Trestina 34 11 10 13 43:45 43
11 Montevarchi 34 10 13 11 42:41 43
12 Sangiovannese 34 10 12 12 30:37 42
13 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 Orvietana 34 10 8 16 33:44 38
15 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 5 14 15 24:46 29
16 Real Forte Querceta 34 6 10 18 31:46 28
17 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 2 14 18 33:60 20
18 SC Cenaia 34 3 10 21 29:67 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 (Play Offs)