Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Figueirense vs GD Varandinha Prediction & H2H Stats

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Figueirense
20%
Draws
16%
GD Varandinha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Figueirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GD Varandinha lately — more wins on the board than Figueirense.
  • Model gives Figueirense a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 17%
GD Varandinha Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figueirense GD Varandinha
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 1 5
Draws 2 8
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 1.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
GD Varandinha vs Figueirense
2:4
Apr 23, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Figueirense vs GD Varandinha
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figueirense 66 / 100
GD Varandinha 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figueirense GD Varandinha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Figueirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Varandinha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Figueirense scored in 67% of their last 6 outings.

GD Varandinha lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Figueirense VS GD Varandinha
1.33 Goals Scored 1
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Figueirense

(Home)
11 Jun
GD Varandinha
2 : 4
Figueirense
04 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 4
Academica do Mindelo
21 May
Figueirense
0 : 0
Morabeza
12 May
Morabeza
1 : 0
Figueirense
30 Apr
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 1
Figueirense
Page 1 of 2

GD Varandinha

(Away)
15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2
Morabeza
09 Jun
Palmeira
4 : 0
GD Varandinha
26 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 3
Barreirense
18 May
Barreirense
3 : 1
GD Varandinha
11 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 2
Palmeira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 4 2 0 6:0 14
2 Travadores 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
3 Santo Crucifixo 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
4 Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
2 Vulcanico Clube 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Belo Horizonte 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Sanjoanenses 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica do Mindelo 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Morabeza 6 2 4 0 6:4 10
3 Figueirense 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams