Sport Picks
Figueirense vs Guarani
Brazil
Serie C Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis 
Match Events
45'
45'
Raphael
45'
45'
Sub
Lucca In: Rafael Donato
Out: Lucca
46'
46'
Sub
Isaque In: Kaua Jesus
Out: Isaque
AI Match Summary
The Serie C game between Figueirense and Guarani finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Figueirense haven't matched Guarani's recent run of results.
- Model gives Figueirense a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 19%
Guarani Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Figueirense | Guarani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Serie C
Figueirense vs Guarani
1:1
May 26, 2025 Serie C
Guarani vs Figueirense
0:0
Dec 20, 2020 Serie B
Guarani vs Figueirense
2:2
Sep 26, 2020 Serie B
Figueirense vs Guarani
2:2
Aug 31, 2019 Serie B
Figueirense vs Guarani
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Figueirense Compare
Top Goalscorer Ze Carlos
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Guarani Compare
Top Goalscorer Ynaia
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Figueirense 36 / 100
Guarani 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Figueirense Guarani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Figueirense found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Guarani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Figueirense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Figueirense VS Guarani
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Figueirense
(Home) 08 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 2 Ferroviaria
25 Jul
Santa Cruz
0 : 1 Figueirense
13 Jul
Figueirense
0 : 0 Volta Redonda
06 Jul
Brusque
3 : 1 Figueirense
28 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 1 Guarani
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 2 Ferroviaria
13 Jul
Figueirense
0 : 0 Volta Redonda
28 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 1 Guarani
31 May
Figueirense
2 : 1 Paysandu PA
16 May
Figueirense
0 : 1 Itabaiana
Page 1 of 3
Guarani
(Away) 10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1 Guarani
27 Jul
Guarani
3 : 1 Internacional de Limeira
12 Jul
Paysandu PA
3 : 2 Guarani
04 Jul
Guarani
0 : 0 Floresta EC
28 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 1 Guarani
Page 1 of 6
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1 Guarani
12 Jul
Paysandu PA
3 : 2 Guarani
28 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 1 Guarani
22 Jun
Confianca
2 : 0 Guarani
23 May
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
0 : 2 Guarani
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional de Limeira | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Brusque | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22:17 | 27 |
| 3 | Botafogo PB | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 4 | Paysandu PA | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:22 | 26 |
| 5 | Guarani | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 29:17 | 26 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 25 |
| 7 | Ypiranga FC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 22:20 | 24 |
| 8 | SER Caxias do Sul | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 16:12 | 24 |
| 9 | Ferroviaria | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Amazonas | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | 23 |
| 11 | Maringa FC | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 28:28 | 23 |
| 12 | Ituano | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18:17 | 22 |
| 13 | Floresta EC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 14 | Maranhao | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 13:15 | 21 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:20 | 21 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | 18 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:20 | 15 |
| 19 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17:19 | 15 |
| 20 | Confianca | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10:17 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
