Sport Picks
Figueirense vs Hercilio Luz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Hercilio Luz have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Figueirense have conceded 1.12 and scored 1.12. Head-to-head, Figueirense have won 0 to Hercilio Luz's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.31, favoring Hercilio Luz. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Hercilio Luz come out ahead of Figueirense on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Figueirense's way, sitting at 42%.
- Hercilio Luz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Hercilio Luz, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Figueirense | Hercilio Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Figueirense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Figueirense found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).
Hercilio Luz has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Figueirense
(Home)Hercilio Luz
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcilio Dias | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Hercilio Luz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Joinville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 9 | Nacao | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 2 |
