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Figueirense vs Itabaiana

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Everton Kanela
44'
Lucas Bessa
46'
Sub
Jean Mangabeira In: Joao Choco
Out: Jean Mangabeira

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Figueirense and Itabaiana finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabaiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Figueirense
30%
Draws
6%
Itabaiana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Figueirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Figueirense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Figueirense a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 68%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figueirense Itabaiana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.1 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Serie C
Figueirense vs Itabaiana
0:1
May 12, 2025 Serie C
Itabaiana vs Figueirense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Figueirense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Itabaiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Kanela
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figueirense 95 / 100
Itabaiana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figueirense Itabaiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Figueirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Figueirense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Figueirense scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Itabaiana conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Figueirense VS Itabaiana
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Figueirense

(Home)
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
Figueirense
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
23 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
0 : 0
Figueirense
Page 1 of 6

Itabaiana

(Away)
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
16 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 0
Itabaiana
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
SER Caxias do Sul
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)