Sport Picks
Figueirense vs Joinville
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Figueirense have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.12 conceded recently, against Joinville's 1.03 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Figueirense have won 5 to Joinville's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.48 - 1.42) back Figueirense to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Figueirense come out ahead of Joinville on wins alone.
- Model gives Figueirense a 50% chance of winning this.
- Figueirense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Figueirense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Figueirense have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Figueirense | Joinville |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.12 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Figueirense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Figueirense scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.
Defensive concern: Joinville conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Figueirense
(Home)Joinville
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcilio Dias | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Hercilio Luz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Joinville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 9 | Nacao | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 2 |
