Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Figueirense vs Volta Redonda

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Orlando Scarpelli
Mon, Jul 13, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Figueirense play Volta Redonda in the Serie C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Figueirense averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. Volta Redonda averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Figueirense won 0, Volta Redonda won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 24, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Figueirense and 0.69 for Volta Redonda. This points to a Volta Redonda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Figueirense
25%
Draws
40%
Volta Redonda
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Volta Redonda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Figueirense picked up more points recently compared to Volta Redonda.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 28%
Volta Redonda Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figueirense Volta Redonda
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.06 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2024 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs Figueirense
1:0
Aug 20, 2023 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs Figueirense
2:0
Apr 9, 2022 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs Figueirense
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figueirense 37 / 100
Volta Redonda 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figueirense Volta Redonda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Volta Redonda or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Figueirense attacking → ← attacking Volta Redonda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Figueirense scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Volta Redonda let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Figueirense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Volta Redonda lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 39
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guarani1365223:1123
2Internacional de Limeira1364316:1422
3Brusque1263317:1321
4Santa Cruz1363413:921
5Paysandu PA1262419:1620
6SER Caxias do Sul1355313:1020
7Maringa FC1354426:2419
8Ituano1354415:1319
9Floresta EC1354415:1419
10Ferroviaria1354412:1119
11Amazonas1252513:1617
12Volta Redonda1352610:1517
13Botafogo PB1251615:1516
14Figueirense1244411:1516
15Ypiranga FC1243515:1715
16Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1336416:1415
17Maranhao133559:1314
18Confianca133288:1211
19Itabaiana122469:1710
20Anapolis122379:159