Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiji U19 vs New Caledonia U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Dau R.
64' Event
Nypie C.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U19 2018 game between Fiji U19 and New Caledonia U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Fiji U19
15%
Draws
68%
New Caledonia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Caledonia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Caledonia U19 come out ahead of Fiji U19 on wins alone.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on New Caledonia U19 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fiji U19 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fiji U19 Clean Sheet 12%
New Caledonia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiji U19 New Caledonia U19
Matches Played 20 21
Wins 11 13
Draws 3 1
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.95 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2022 OFC Championship U19
Fiji U19 vs New Caledonia U19
1:0
Aug 13, 2018 OFC Championship U19
Fiji U19 vs New Caledonia U19
1:1
May 25, 2014 OFC Championship U19
Fiji U19 vs New Caledonia U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiji U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dau R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

New Caledonia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nypie C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiji U19 27 / 100
New Caledonia U19 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiji U19 New Caledonia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Caledonia U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: New Caledonia U19 conceded in 81% of 21 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Fiji U19 scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Fiji U19 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiji U19 VS New Caledonia U19
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiji U19

(Home)
17 Jan
Fiji U19
0 : 2
Australia U17
17 Jul
Solomon Islands U19
4 : 2
Fiji U19
15 Jul
New Zealand U19
1 : 0
Fiji U19
10 Jul
Vanuatu U19
1 : 6
Fiji U19
07 Jul
Fiji U19
0 : 3
Solomon Islands U19
Page 1 of 4

New Caledonia U19

(Away)
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
18 Jul
New Caledonia U19
0 : 4
New Zealand U19
14 Jul
Solomon Islands U19
2 : 3
New Caledonia U19
12 Jul
New Caledonia U19
2 : 1
Samoa U19
08 Jul
Papua New Guinea U19
1 : 2
New Caledonia U19
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U19 3 3 0 0 20:1 9
2 Tahiti U19 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Papua New Guinea U19 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Tonga U19 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands U19 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
2 New Caledonia U19 3 1 1 1 11:5 4
3 Fiji U19 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Vanuatu U19 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)