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Stadium Background

Fiji vs Vanuatu

World World

Friendly International HFC Bank Stadium, Suva
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Kaltack K.

AI Match Summary

Vanuatu in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vanuatu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fiji
35%
Draws
32%
Vanuatu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vanuatu haven't matched Fiji's recent run of results.
  • Fiji are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Fiji Clean Sheet 10%
Vanuatu Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiji Vanuatu
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.61 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Friendly International
Fiji vs Vanuatu
0:1
Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Fiji
2:2
Jun 6, 2026 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Fiji
2:1
Nov 17, 2025 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Fiji
2:0
Dec 12, 2024 Friendly International
Fiji vs Vanuatu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiji Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Vanuatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaltack K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiji 34 / 100
Vanuatu 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiji Vanuatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanuatu let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Fiji found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Fiji went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiji VS Vanuatu
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiji

(Home)
30 Sept
Fiji
2 : 1
New Caledonia
27 Sept
Fiji
2 : 0
Papua New Guinea
21 Sept
Fiji
0 : 1
Vanuatu
18 Sept
Fiji
3 : 3
Solomon Islands
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
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Vanuatu

(Away)
27 Sept
Vanuatu
4 : 1
New Caledonia
24 Sept
Solomon Islands
3 : 3
Vanuatu
21 Sept
Fiji
0 : 1
Vanuatu
18 Sept
Papua New Guinea
2 : 1
Vanuatu
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
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