Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Davis T.
28'
28'
Diyalowai S.
36'
36'
Nasau C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-0. This leg finished 5-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Caledonia W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
0%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Fiji W lately — more wins on the board than New Caledonia W.
- Fiji W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Fiji W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Fiji W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
- Fiji W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Fiji W Clean Sheet 20%
New Caledonia W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fiji W | New Caledonia W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 27 |
| Wins | 17 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 27, 2026 World Cup Women
Fiji W vs New Caledonia W
5:0
Nov 27, 2023 Pacific Games Women
Fiji W vs New Caledonia W
3:0
Oct 15, 2023 Friendly International Women
Fiji W vs New Caledonia W
1:1
Oct 10, 2023 Friendly International Women
Fiji W vs New Caledonia W
2:1
Jul 17, 2022 OFC Nations Cup Women
Fiji W vs New Caledonia W
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fiji W Compare
Top Goalscorer Diyalowai S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Davis T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
New Caledonia W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fiji W 76 / 100
New Caledonia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fiji W New Caledonia W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fiji W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
New Caledonia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Away concern: New Caledonia W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Fiji W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Fiji W VS New Caledonia W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Fiji W
(Home) 23 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 1 Solomon Islands W
20 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 1 Vanuatu W
17 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 4 Papua New Guinea W
06 Jun
Hong Kong W
3 : 1 Fiji W
03 Jun
Hong Kong W
3 : 2 Fiji W
Page 1 of 7
23 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 1 Solomon Islands W
20 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 1 Vanuatu W
17 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 4 Papua New Guinea W
27 Feb
Fiji W
5 : 0 New Caledonia W
21 Feb
Fiji W
2 : 1 American Samoa W
Page 1 of 4
New Caledonia W
(Away) 26 Sept
New Caledonia W
0 : 1 Solomon Islands W
23 Sept
Vanuatu W
5 : 0 New Caledonia W
20 Sept
New Caledonia W
1 : 4 Papua New Guinea W
15 Apr
Indonesia W
4 : 2 New Caledonia W
12 Apr
Thailand W
4 : 0 New Caledonia W
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Vanuatu W
5 : 0 New Caledonia W
15 Apr
Indonesia W
4 : 2 New Caledonia W
12 Apr
Thailand W
4 : 0 New Caledonia W
27 Feb
Fiji W
5 : 0 New Caledonia W
01 Dec
Samoa W
1 : 3 New Caledonia W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19:0 | 9 |
| 2 | American Samoa W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Samoa W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:10 | 3 |
| 4 | Solomon Islands W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Third stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Papua New Guinea W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Fiji W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 3 | New Caledonia W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:10 | 3 |
| 4 | Vanuatu W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:8 | 0 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Third stage)
