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Finale vs Sestri Levante - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sestri Levante in this Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sestri Levante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Finale
20%
Draws
70%
Sestri Levante
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sestri Levante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sestri Levante lately — more wins on the board than Finale.
  • Sestri Levante are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Finale Clean Sheet 21%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finale Sestri Levante
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Sestri Levante vs Finale
2:0
Dec 10, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Finale vs Sestri Levante
0:2
Mar 5, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Finale vs Sestri Levante
3:3
Oct 30, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Sestri Levante vs Finale
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finale 20 / 100
Sestri Levante 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finale Sestri Levante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestri Levante Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finale found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Sestri Levante let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Finale went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sestri Levante
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Finale

(Home)
06 May
Finale
1 : 2
Scandicci
29 Apr
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Finale
22 Apr
Finale
1 : 3
Albissola
15 Apr
Viareggio
2 : 0
Finale
08 Apr
Finale
1 : 1
Sanremese
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Sestri Levante

(Away)
07 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 0
Pistoiese
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1
Sestri Levante
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
AS Biellese
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1
Sestri Levante
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albissola 34 21 6 7 56:30 69
2 Sanremese 34 20 7 7 58:34 67
3 FC Ponsacco 34 17 11 6 49:31 62
4 Real Forte Querceta 34 16 12 6 50:27 60
5 Viareggio 34 17 9 8 57:46 58
6 Massese 34 15 11 8 50:33 56
7 Savona 34 16 7 11 53:34 55
8 Seravezza Pozzi 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
9 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 12 10 12 41:34 46
10 Ghiviborgo 34 10 14 10 48:45 44
11 Ligorna 34 11 10 13 41:50 43
12 Sestri Levante 34 11 9 14 35:34 42
13 Lavagnese 34 11 8 15 35:42 41
14 Rignanese 34 10 8 16 36:60 38
15 Scandicci 34 10 4 20 42:54 34
16 Finale 34 6 12 16 38:49 30
17 Argentina 34 4 9 21 29:71 21
18 Valdinievole Montecatini 34 2 9 23 19:74 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 (Play Offs)