Sport Picks
Finale vs Valdinievole Montecatini
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
Finale in this Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Finale.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valdinievole Montecatini
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
21%
/ Low Confidence
- Finale have won more games recently than Valdinievole Montecatini.
- Model gives Finale a 21% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Finale Clean Sheet 19%
Valdinievole Montecatini Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Finale | Valdinievole Montecatini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 2.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 14, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Finale vs Valdinievole Montecatini
5:1
Sep 10, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Valdinievole Montecatini vs Finale
1:1
Apr 12, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Valdinievole Montecatini vs Finale
0:0
Dec 4, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Finale vs Valdinievole Montecatini
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Finale 85 / 100
Valdinievole Montecatini 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Finale Valdinievole Montecatini
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Finale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Valdinievole Montecatini conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Finale scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Valdinievole Montecatini's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Finale VS Valdinievole Montecatini
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Finale
(Home) 06 May
Finale
1 : 2 Scandicci
29 Apr
Sestri Levante
2 : 0 Finale
22 Apr
Finale
1 : 3 Albissola
15 Apr
Viareggio
2 : 0 Finale
08 Apr
Finale
1 : 1 Sanremese
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06 May
Finale
1 : 2 Scandicci
22 Apr
Finale
1 : 3 Albissola
08 Apr
Finale
1 : 1 Sanremese
25 Mar
Finale
0 : 0 Seravezza Pozzi
04 Mar
Finale
3 : 3 Ligorna
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Valdinievole Montecatini
(Away) 31 Jul
Empoli
9 : 0 Valdinievole Montecatini
15 Jul
AS Roma
10 : 0 Valdinievole Montecatini
06 May
Savona
6 : 0 Valdinievole Montecatini
29 Apr
Valdinievole Montecatini
1 : 0 FC Ponsacco
22 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 0 Valdinievole Montecatini
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31 Jul
Empoli
9 : 0 Valdinievole Montecatini
15 Jul
AS Roma
10 : 0 Valdinievole Montecatini
06 May
Savona
6 : 0 Valdinievole Montecatini
22 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 0 Valdinievole Montecatini
08 Apr
Real Forte Querceta
2 : 1 Valdinievole Montecatini
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albissola | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 56:30 | 69 |
| 2 | Sanremese | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 58:34 | 67 |
| 3 | FC Ponsacco | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 49:31 | 62 |
| 4 | Real Forte Querceta | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 50:27 | 60 |
| 5 | Viareggio | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 58 |
| 6 | Massese | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 50:33 | 56 |
| 7 | Savona | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 53:34 | 55 |
| 8 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:33 | 51 |
| 9 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 41:34 | 46 |
| 10 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 48:45 | 44 |
| 11 | Ligorna | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:50 | 43 |
| 12 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:34 | 42 |
| 13 | Lavagnese | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:42 | 41 |
| 14 | Rignanese | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 36:60 | 38 |
| 15 | Scandicci | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 42:54 | 34 |
| 16 | Finale | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:49 | 30 |
| 17 | Argentina | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 29:71 | 21 |
| 18 | Valdinievole Montecatini | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 19:74 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
