Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Finland U16 vs Estonia U16

World World

Friendly International 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Liivaru M.
20' Event
Ketola S.
30'
Harden P.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2022 game between Finland U16 and Estonia U16 finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finland U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Finland U16
15%
Draws
21%
Estonia U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Finland U16 come out ahead of Estonia U16 on wins alone.
  • Finland U16 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Finland U16 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Finland U16 Clean Sheet 20%
Estonia U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U16 Estonia U16
Matches Played 22 13
Wins 12 2
Draws 0 1
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.09 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.59 3.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2024 Friendly International
Estonia U16 vs Finland U16
0:3
Sep 25, 2023 Friendly International
Estonia U16 vs Finland U16
3:4
Oct 7, 2022 Friendly International
Finland U16 vs Estonia U16
6:2
Aug 25, 2021 Friendly International
Finland U16 vs Estonia U16
3:0
Aug 25, 2021 Friendly International
Finland U16 vs Estonia U16
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ketola S.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Koukkumaki T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Estonia U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Liivaru M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kristal P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U16 85 / 100
Estonia U16 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U16 Estonia U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estonia U16 let in goals in 100% of their last 13 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Finland U16's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Recent resilience: Finland U16 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finland U16 VS Estonia U16
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland U16

(Home)
09 May
Finland U16
6 : 2
Greece U16
06 May
Finland U16
1 : 0
Ukraine U16
04 May
Finland U16
2 : 0
Hungary U16
28 Feb
Ireland U16
2 : 1
Finland U16
26 Feb
Ireland U16
2 : 3
Finland U16
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Estonia U16

(Away)
19 Apr
Estonia U16
2 : 1
Azerbaijan U16
16 Apr
Moldova U16
4 : 0
Estonia U16
14 Apr
Georgia U16
4 : 0
Estonia U16
27 Sept
Estonia U16
0 : 3
Finland U16
23 Sept
Estonia U16
1 : 1
Northern Ireland U16
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