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Finland U16 W vs Italy U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Orava M.
19' Event
Farroni C.
21' Event
Galli G.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between Finland U16 W and Italy U16 W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U16 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Finland U16 W
33%
Draws
40%
Italy U16 W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Italy U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Finland U16 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Italy U16 W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Finland U16 W Clean Sheet 14%
Italy U16 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U16 W Italy U16 W
Matches Played 22 17
Wins 14 8
Draws 0 2
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2024 Friendly International Women
Finland U16 W vs Italy U16 W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Orava M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pulkkinen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Italy U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Farroni C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galli G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U16 W 27 / 100
Italy U16 W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U16 W Italy U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland U16 W scored in 91% of their last 22 games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Italy U16 W let in goals in 71% of their last 17 matches.

Recent resilience: Finland U16 W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finland U16 W VS Italy U16 W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%