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Finland U16 W vs Sweden U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Klingberg N.
46'
Sub
Esentals M. In: Danielsson H.
Out: Esentals M.
46'
Sub
Svanberg A. In: Huitzing R.
Out: Svanberg A.

AI Match Summary

Finland U16 W in this Friendly International Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Finland U16 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Finland U16 W
33%
Draws
27%
Sweden U16 W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Finland U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Finland U16 W lately — more wins on the board than Sweden U16 W.
  • Win probability leans Finland U16 W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Finland U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
Sweden U16 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U16 W Sweden U16 W
Matches Played 22 32
Wins 14 9
Draws 0 2
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.71 2
Goals Conceded 2 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Friendly International Women
Finland U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
1:3
Oct 16, 2024 Friendly International Women
Finland U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
4:3
Oct 27, 2023 Friendly International Women
Finland U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
4:0
Oct 24, 2023 Friendly International Women
Finland U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
0:2
Jul 1, 2022 Friendly International Women
Finland U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Orava M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ek I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Sweden U16 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U16 W 38 / 100
Sweden U16 W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U16 W Sweden U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland U16 W's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sweden U16 W conceded in 94% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Sweden U16 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finland U16 W VS Sweden U16 W
1.71 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 50%